Online Course: Uncertainty Analysis in Groundwater Modelling – July

Develop confidence in how to grapple with uncertainty in modelling results

Explore the guiding principles and the workflow process required to design uncertainty analysis when developing a groundwater model. Your understanding will provide useful information for decision makers.

Working through a real case study, you will unpack key questions such as how a groundwater model is going to address the project objective. It will also explain how to design an uncertainty analysis, within the project’s time and budget constraints, to understand the effect of uncertainty on the project objectives.

Date: Thursday, 4 July 2019

Time: 10:30am (Australia/Sydney; find your local time)

Location: Online

Format: 4 hours (Two live and interactive two-hour sessions separated by 30 min break). Sessions are recorded for viewing through the learning platform.

Cost: $295

Chair: Hugh Middlemis

Contact: Joel Voortman



Luk Peeters


Luk has over 10 years research experience in environmental impact assessment and modelling groundwater dynamics at regional to continental scales for water resource management. His research features a... Read more

Hugh Middlemis


Hugh is a civil engineer and hydrogeologist with over 35 years experience. He specialises in groundwater modelling and independent reviews and in 2014 Hugh established HydroGeoLogic, an independent c... Read more


There is no single step-by-step methodology for universal application of an uncertainty analysis, but there is a set of guiding principles and a work flow for conducting an uncertainty analysis. This is outlined in the Independent Expert Scientific Committee (IESC) on Coal Seam Gas and Large Coal Mining Development Information Guidelines Explanatory Note – Uncertainty analysis–Guidance for groundwater modelling within a risk management framework. This document will help guide the discussion.

Risk assessment outcomes should underpin the environmental assessment process and guide technical and modelling work. The course sessions will explore the guiding principles and the work flow process to design uncertainty analysis providing useful information for decision makers.

Using highly relevant case studies, we will bring the theory into practice and be able to apply it to your own work. While different uncertainty analysis techniques will be briefly discussed, this course will focus the design of an uncertainty analysis for a groundwater model, rather than step-by-step implementation of uncertainty analysis techniques in groundwater models.

By pitching questions, using polls and answering your questions live through the chat, this 4-hour session will be highly interactive.

When: Thursday 4th July, 2 live and interactive sessions of 2-hours

  • 1st Session- 10:30am – 12.30pm (Sydney Time)
  • Break- 12.30pm – 1.00pm
  • 2nd Session- 1.00pm – 3.00pm


  • Risk Framework and Study Planning
  • Designing an Uncertainty Analysis Assessment

Format: The course is delivered through 5 units via the learning platform.

The sessions are recorded & uploaded to the learning platform, if you cannot attend live.

Preparation: There are two readings required before the live sessions (provided through the learning platform), with some optional readings video watching encouraged. There is also an opportunity to tailor the sessions to your direct questions, via the initial survey. The learning platform will also include a folder of approximately 20 reading materials to view after the session.

Requirements: A good internet connection, a mic and webcam is encouraged to allow for live interaction in the Q&A times. The Zoom conferencing platform is used, you can test your internet connection, download and install the launcher now using this test meeting:

Completion: On completion of the course attendees will be issued with a Certificate of Participation.

Register your interest